New Brunswick Liberals Leading Heading into the Election

MQO Research spoke with 600 residents of New Brunswick to gauge the political temperature in the province for the Summer edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Provincial Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, the Liberals are back in front this quarter. Among decided and leaning voters:

• CurrentLiberalsupportjumped5percentagepointsto40%.
• PC Party support fell 11 percentage points to 32%.
• NDPsupportheldrelativelysteadyat9%.
• Support for the Green Party exhibited little change at 10%.
• The undecided / no vote group held steady at 45% this quarter.

“The Liberals hold a vey big lead through northern New Brunswick, but the race is tighter elsewhere,” said Stephen Moore a vice president at MQO. “A lot of women remain undecided and there are still a lot of undecided voters in Moncton.”

“Those groups will likely determine how close the race ends up.”

Government Performance

Ratings for the leadership of Premier Brian Gallant held steady this quarter with a mean score of 5.0 (on a 10-point scale).

Provincial Outlook

The economic outlook for the province was relatively unchanged in July. 31% of New Brunswick residents reported that their outlook on the economy had worsened over the past three months while 52% indicated their outlook had stayed the same and 13% felt things had gotten better.

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from July 17th to August 4th and included 600 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 4.0 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry in Canada.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Tracey Stephenson
[email protected]
Phone: 506-852-7281
Cell: 506-850-8077

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