Federal Liberals Leading in Nova Scotia

Introduction

MQO Research spoke with 400 residents of Nova Scotia to gauge the political temperature in the province for the Summer edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Federal Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, the federal Liberals have a double-digit lead in NS. Among decided and leaning voters:

• Support for the Liberal Party was relatively unchanged at 44%.
• Conservative support trended down 4 percentage points to 31%.
• NDP support held relatively steady at 13%.
• Support for the Green Party was relatively unchanged at 9%.
• Support for the People’s Party held steady at 1%.

“The Liberals are leading in Halifax, but trailing the Conservatives on mainland Nova Scotia,” said Stephen Moore. “There was not much movement over the last quarter – and the governing Liberals are still very competitive.”

Leader Preference

Support for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau rebounded in August. Amongst decided respondents:

• Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was the top choice of 44% of voters, up 7 percentage points from May.
• Support for Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer dropped 7 percentage points to 24%.
• Green Leader Elizabeth May garnered the support of 19% of voters (down 4 percentage points).
• Support for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh increased by 5 percentage points to 11%.
• Support for People’s Party Leader Maxime Bernier held relatively steady at 2%.

“Trudeau’s personal numbers are recovering, and he is on par with the party,” said Moore. “Scheer is having trouble catching on in Nova Scotia – he will need to fix that to improve his hopes of picking up seats in the province.”

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from August 20th to August 27th, 2019 and included 400 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry in Canada.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Stephen Moore
smoore@mqoresearch.com
Cell: 902-210-5379

Click here for the full report