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Tight Race Forming Between Federal Liberals and Conservatives in NB

MQO Research spoke with 600 residents of New Brunswick to gauge the political temperature in the province for the Winter edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Federal Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, a tight race is forming between the federal Liberals and Conservatives in New Brunswick. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • Support for the Liberal Party jumped 9 percentage points to 44%.
  • Conservative support was relatively unchanged at 39%.
  • Support for the Green Party dropped 5 percentage points to 10%.
  • NDP support edged down 4 percentage points to 4%.

The undecided / no vote group was relatively unchanged at 38%.

“Both the Liberals and Conservatives are neck and neck,” said Stephen Moore, Vice-President at MQO. “The Liberals hold a strong lead in Moncton and Northern New Brunswick while the Conservatives have a strong lead in Saint John. Both parties are tied in Fredericton.”

Government Performance

The rating for the leadership of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau dropped from a mean score of 5.0 in October to 4.6 this quarter (on a 10-point scale).

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from January 30th to February 10th, 2019 and included 600 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.0 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Stephen Moore – Vice-President
smoore@mqoresearch.com
Cell: 902-210-5379

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