Provincial Tories Hold Double Digit Lead in NB
August 27, 2019
Liberals and PCs Tied in Nova Scotia
September 9, 2019

Tight Race Between Federal Conservatives and Liberals in NB

MQO Research spoke with 400 residents of New Brunswick to gauge the political temperature in the province for the Summer edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Federal Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, the federal Liberals and Conservatives are now statistically tied in New Brunswick. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • Support for the Liberal Party increased 5 percentage points to 41%.
  • Conservative support held relatively steady at 40%.
  • Support for the Green Party dropped 7 percentage points to 9%.
  • NDP support remained relatively steady at 6%.
  • Support for the People’s Party edged up 3 percentage points to 4%.

“New Brunswick is going to be an interesting province to watch in the upcoming campaign,” said Stephen Moore, Vice President at MQO Research. “The Conservatives are strongest in Saint John and the Liberals lead everywhere else.”

Leader Preference

Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer and Prime Minster Justin Trudeau are tied for the top choice for Prime Minister. Among decided respondents:

  • Support for Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer was relatively unchanged at 35%.
  • Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was also the top choice of 35% of voters, edging up 3 percentage points.
  • Support for Green Leader Elizabeth May was relatively unchanged at 19%
  • Support for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh held steady at 6%.
  • Support for People’s Party Leader Maxime Bernier was also relatively unchanged at 5%.

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from August 6th to August 14th, 2019 and included 400 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.9 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Stephen Moore – Vice-President
smoore@mqoresearch.com / Cell: 902-210-5379

Click here for the French version of this release

Click here for the full report