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Support for Federal Liberals Holds Steady on PEI

MQO Research spoke with 400 residents of Prince Edward Island to gauge the political temperature in the province for the Summer edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Federal Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, support for the Liberal Party held steady this quarter following a big drop in April. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • After dropping last quarter, support for the Liberal Party held steady at 40% in August.
  • Conservative support held relatively steady at 34%.
  • Support for the Green Party edged up 3 percentage points to 21%.
  • NDP support dropped 4 percentage points to 4%.
  • Support for the People’s Party was also unchanged at <1%.

“It’s not clear whether the Greens have enough support to win, but they certainly have enough support to play spoiler,” said Stephen Moore, Vice President at MQO Research. “The Liberals have healthy leads outside of Queens, but the Greens are making it a tighter race in Queens, the most populous part of the province.”

“The Liberals have lost nearly 10 points since May 2018 and the NDP has collapsed – the Green Party is the beneficiary of these changes.”

Leader Preference

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is the top choice for Prime Minister on Prince Edward Island. Among decided respondents:

  • Prime Minister Justin Trudeau garnered the support of 40% of voters, up 5 percentage points from April.
  • Support for Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer was relatively unchanged at 30%.
  • Green Leader Elizabeth May garnered the support of 19% of voters, on par with last quarter.
  • NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh was the top choice among 9% of voters, relatively unchanged from April.
  • Support for People’s Party Leader Maxime Bernier held steady at 3%.

“Trudeau’s personal brand has rebounded in the province,” said Moore. “He is now polling on par with the Liberal Party – that’s good news for the governing Liberals ahead of the election.”

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from July 31st to August 6th, 2019 and included 400 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.9 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Stephen Moore – Vice-President
smoore@mqoresearch.com
Cell: 902-210-5379

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