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September 5, 2018

PCs and Liberals Tied in Windsor Lake By-election

MQO Research spoke with 300 residents in the Windsor Lake riding to understand how they were planning to vote in the upcoming by-election.

According to our results, there is a statistical tie between Liberal candidate Paul Antle and PC leader Ches Crosbie. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • 41 percent would vote for Antle
  • 37 percent would vote for Crosbie
  • 22 percent would vote for the NDP candidate Kerri Claire Neil

Meanwhile, 23 percent of those polled were undecided.

“This is a very important by-election,” said Stephen Moore, Vice-President at MQO. “If Crosbie doesn’t win, the Tories will go into the campaign without an elected leader.”

Voters 55 years and older are more likely to support Crosbie while younger voters are more likely to support Antle.

The poll also asked which leader people preferred for premier. Currently, PC leader Ches Crosbie and Premier Dwight Ball are neck and neck in the riding. Among decided respondents:

  • 43 percent picked Crosbie
  • 38 percent picked Premier Ball
  • 19 percent selected Gerry Rogers

28 percent of those polled were undecided.

The poll was conducted by telephone from September 9th to September 10th and included 300 randomly selected eligible voters in the riding. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 5.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. 

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry in Canada.

Media contact: 

Stephen Moore
smoore@mqoresearch.com
Phone: 902-210-5379