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Liberals and Greens Tied in PEI

MQO Research spoke with 400 residents of Prince Edward Island to gauge the political temperature in the province for the Summer edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Provincial Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, there is a very tight race in PEI. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • Current Liberal support trended down 4 percentage points to 34%;
  • Support for the PC Party remained unchanged at 29%;
  • NDP support trended down 3 percentage points to 4%;
  • Support for the Green Party climbed 7 percentage points to 33% putting the party just one point back of the governing Liberals;
  • The undecided / no vote group remained steady at 34%.

“The Liberals and Greens are statistically tied and there is less than a six-percentage point spread between first and third,” said Stephen Moore, Vice President at MQO. “This is a very tight three-way race. These numbers suggest voters are heading towards electing a minority government in PEI.”

Government Performance

Ratings for the leadership of Premier Wade MacLauchlan was unchanged this quarter with a mean rating of 5.1 (on a 10-point scale).

Provincial Outlook

Islander’s view on the economic outlook for the province trended up this quarter. 25 percent of Islanders reported that the economic outlook over the past three months had improved, up marginally from 21% in April. Meanwhile, 51% felt things had stayed about the same (down 5 percentage points from April) while 20% said the economic outlook of the province had gotten worse (on par with 19% in April).

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from July 12th to July 29th, 2018 and included 400 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.9 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry in Canada.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Matt McGuire
matt@coastlinestrategy.com
Phone: 902-888-8828

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